Dealing With The Pro12lem

Rather than put lipstick on the pig, what say we carve it up so more can get a taste?

		PLD	PTS
1	Irish team ending in “-ster”	21	78
2	The good Scottish team	21	74
3	Another Irish team ending in “-ster”	21	73
4	Yet another Irish team ending in “-ster”	21	66
5	OSPREYS	21	61
6	SCARLETS	21	51
7	CARDIFF BLUES	21	41
8	The bad Scottish team	21	37
9	Irish team that doesn't end in “-ster”	21	35
10	NG DRAGONS	21	31
11	Not the Benetton Italian team	21	29
12	The Benetton Italian team	21	29

What you see above could be how Welsh rugby fans see the Pro12 table.  Well…the ones who follow the regions that is.  If it’s the ones who follow the clubs, they wouldn’t be looking at it at all because they’d probably fear getting some Roger Lewis stink on them.

But whatever we say about the crisis in Welsh rugby, it seems this imperfect entity, once called the Celtic League (which at least had some branding to bind all the teams together) but now is simply called the Pro12, is to stay with us for a while.

Today we saw the publication of a Pro12 “Team Of The Year” for the 2013/14 regular season.  I’m not writing this post just to complain about the composition of the team, though I definitely could as there is only one from the Glasgow Warriors despite their having won more matches than any other team in the league this season.

Anyway…arguing over such teams is pointless.  Nobody is ever going to agree anyway.  If it were down to me, I wouldn’t have an official team like that for a multi-national league and leave such squabbles to us bloggers.

What the Pro12 needs to do in my opinion is to turn it’s biggest weakness into a strength.

I called for a conference structure before when I wrote up the Zebre v Leinster match back in February. 

Thing is though…I probably have to make my argument again - why?  Because not many people were all that interested in a writeup for Zebre v Leinster back in February, probably not even fans of the two teams involved as it was also a Six Nations weekend.

So here’s a snippet of what I said back then :

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One thing is for sure…a single 12-team league for teams from three or four separate nations is not sustainable.

In American sports, they of course have their own issues, but in general they have a decent handle when it comes to structuring the season.  One key element of this is the organisation into conferences and divisions.

This format, which was adopted by Super Rugby a couple of years ago, is designed almost exclusively to deal with many of the problems we now have in the Rabo. 

Say, for example, the 12 teams played each other throughout the season but instead of one big table there were three divisions of four along geographical lines.  Teams would still play across the divisions but there would be more emphasis on matchups within their own.

Under this system not only could you have more derby matches and less travelling, but in the Welsh case it would surely be a lot easier for the press to cover the league over there - a four-team league table of all regions looks a whole lot better (remember : a major goal is to attract new fans, even the fair-weather ones) than a big 12-team one with Irish provinces at the top.

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Here’s my suggestion for the Pro12 conferences:

IRISH	WELSH	INTERNATIONAL
Connacht	Cardiff Blues	Edinburgh
Leinster	NG Dragons	Glasgow
Munster	Ospreys	Treviso
Ulster	Scarlets	Zebre

I suggest that the regular season fixtures are cut to 20, so we can lose two rounds during international time. (If clubs are still concerned about losing two matches from a revenue standpoint why not organise lucrative exhibition matches for those dates?)

Then teams play each other within their conference four times instead of two and then each team from the other conferences once.  Would you be up for extra chances to get to interprovincial matches throughout the year?  Ulster v Leinster in Ravenhill was last Friday but the last time they met there competitively was December 2012.  Over a calendar year in between. 

I know the Scot-Italian thing could pose problems travel-wise, but what if double-headers were arranged with 5-day turnarounds?  GLA v TRE & EDI v ZEB on Sunday, GLA v ZEB, EDI v TRE on Friday, for example.  Wouldn’t be perfect, but we have to play with the hand we’ve been dealt.

Overall what it means is more derby matches, though still some cross-over ones, but most importantly when, say, the Welsh press report on the league they can focus on their own conference and a region will always be “top of the league”.  That may sound like a trivial point, but in marketing terms I feel it’s an important one. 

The common consensus is that nobody cares about clubs from other jurisdictions, so with a tweak to the structure we can give them the chance to ignore them, at least until play-off time.

As for qualification for those play-offs, obviously the winner of each conference would reach the knockout phase, plus there can be any amount of “wild-cards” you want, though I would suggest the two runners-up with the best records play each other to join the conference winners in the semifinals.

I’d also ditch the “Pro12” name to leave the league open to expansion. Maybe a long term multinational sponsor can lend it’s name (I hear Heineken might be available) but should the Welsh ever want to add a 5th region, the proposed Aberdeen franchise ever come about or dare I say it, teams from places like Georgia want to join, it should be done without having to re-brand every time.

By the way…on the notion of a “British & Irish League” - that sounds great but I very much doubt the English would ever agree to it.  It would create the very real possibility, even with the Rugby Champions Cup super-loot, of all PRL clubs going without a major trophy in a season.

I’m not saying my suggestions are perfect by any means. It’s just something to get a debate going, based on a premise that we cannot force this league through as it is and just hope that the problems it currently has will go away.

Surely it has to be better than naming three players from a region that can’t finish higher than sixth to the league’s so-called “Team of the Year”?  JLP

HERE’S #2THELEGENDS

AMAZING PRIZE UP FOR GRABS WITH RABODIRECT

It’s that time of year again. It’s May, which means the rugby season has reached the business end of the year and at RaboDirect, your straight-talking savings bank, we’ve got a ‘legendary’ prize you won’t want to miss.

We’re sending one lucky fan and three of their mates to watch the best of the RaboDirect PRO12 in action at the final on May 31st. But not only that, we’re bringing along two of the Rabo’s greatest legends, Isa Nacewa and Ronan O’Gara, to share the special VIP day with you too.

They’re two fierce former rivals, but they’ve promised to behave and even buy the beers while watching what promises to be a cracking game of rugby with you and your mates. Irish heavyweights, Leinster, Munster and Ulster are right in the mix for honours alongside Glasgow Warriors and outsiders, the Ospreys. Whether it’s in Dublin, Limerick, Belfast or Glasgow, you could be enjoying a money-can’t-buy, all singing & dancing, experience at our showpiece finale.

We’re celebrating three amazing years as sponsors of the RaboDirect PRO12 by recognising the legends on and off the field.  We’ll be sharing exclusive content with ROG and Isa, giving you the inside track from all of the clubs and championing the competition’s heroes, as the teams prepare for the play-offs.

It’s a dream for any rugby fan. To make sure you’re in with a chance of winning this ultimate experience, just click here to enter.

www.rabodirect.ie/pro12/legends.aspx

The Pagano Preview Mar 28-30

I thought I couldn’t get more annoyed about this European Cup fiasco.  O how wrong I was.

Partly it was down to the way the new format has been teased out over the past couple of weeks, with countless click bait tweets from mainstream sources telling us how the deal is “about to be revealed”.

The other part was about the way the new deal is being spun in such a way as to suggest the English clubs are “getting everything they wanted”.  That somehow the Irish in particular are disgusted to have to back down and have all these things we don’t want imposed on us.

I have said countless times here that a large portion of the suggestions for format change to our premier European competition were needed.  My biggest objection was the infantile manner in which the PRL went about their campaign, and whether they achieved their objectives or not, I certainly wouldn’t be proud if I were them.

That’s not to say I’m entirely happy with the “about to be announced” new deal, and the biggest beef is over the TV deal. 

Oh, of course it seems to make perfect sense that since Sky & BT were arguing over coverage rights then let’s all just get along and let them BOTH cover the new competition!

Compromise is fine.  Normally I’m all for it.  Unless, of course, it is we the fans who are being compromised. 

Not only are both Sky & BT going to be able to reap megabucks to beam ads at us if we watch the competition on their channels, we’ll also have to pay them both a monthly subscription charge for the privilege, which for the moment works out at around €60 in total, on top of regular cable rates, which means rugby fans get the added “bonus” of such sports as soccer, darts and motocross whether they want them or not.

I’m prepared to accept that there will be something done about that by the TV companies, but let’s just say I won’t be holding my breath.

Anyway…enough of such rants.  There’s some massive games to savour this weekend, involving clubs from all over the rugby world, I might add.  Let’s be having a look at them shall we.

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Click here for TV listings

Friday, March 28

RaboDirect PRO12

Glasgow v Ospreys, 7:35pm

This a match-up that not only has massive consequences, but also gives a massive two fingers to everyone who thinks only the Irish care about this league.  Sure, three provinces occupy the top three spots, but nobody, Leinster especially, will relish meeting either of these two in a playoff, even at home.  And with Glasgow just four points behind the Welsh region with 2 home games in hand, this contest has massive implications for two clubs who clearly want to take something meaningful from this season.  Really tough one to call, but something in my bones tells me those pesky birds can sneak it.  Ospreys by 3

Ulster Bank League Division 1A

HarpinOnRugby is primarily a fan site for both the Leinster provincial team and Ireland test teams.  We won’t pretend to offer extensive coverage of anything else because we don’t (yet!) have the time to extend our remit.  So if you want to know more about the massive top-of-the-table clash at Castle Avenue tonight, or other big club rugby happenings this weekend like the semifinals of the Provincial Towns Cup, you’d be best served by the likes of KnockOn.ie.   But if all you want is an overview then Tarf trail Belvo in the league by just 3 points with a game in hand and games are running out so tonight’s clash is crucial.  Almost worth TV coverage, one might say.

Clontarf v Old Belvedere, 7:30pm

UCD v Lansdowne, 7:30pm

Lansdowne Premiership

Bath v Sale Sharks, 7:45pm

Top14

Brive v Clérmont, 7:45pm

Saturday, March 29

RaboDirectPRO12

Zebre v NG Dragons, 3pm

Think this match means nothing?  Think again.  Assuming the proposed new European format happens, the top Italian team in the Rabo will qualify for the new comp.  Even though there are whispers that Zebre will be disbanded, they are just 2 points behind Treviso who may have a game in hand but given that game is away to play-off chasing Glasgow next week I wouldn’t see that as an advantage.  Zebre also have to face the Warriors but that’s in their final match when the Scots very possibly may have already qualified for the final four and thus will no doubt rest players.  Add all that to the fact that Treviso also must still play Leinster at the RDS and you get the nailed-on fact that the italian slot is still very much in play, and what’s more I reckon it still will be after this matchup.  Zebre by 4

Benetton Treviso v Edinburgh, 6pm

See my Zebre preview for the significance of this match for the home side…but the difference in this match is that Embra have their own interests as well.  With two games in hand on the teams ahead of them, plus the fact that those two play each other on Sunday thus at least one will drop points, this match is huge for their chances of finishing sixth.  What could prove the difference, however, is the fact that Greig Laidlaw has been asked by the SRU to take a breather for the remainder of the season.  For that reason I’ll go for a home win but it could require some late heroics similar to italy v Scotland in Rome recently. Treviso by 2

Cardiff Blues v Ulster, 6:30pm

You look at the Cardiff bench and you see the name of Matthew Rees, definitely a welcome sight after all the Welsh Grand Slam hero has been through of late.  But then you look at the Ulster bench and you are dragged back into the current Pro12 reality.

Having Iain Henderson, Robbie Diack, Paul Marshall and Craig Gilroy to call on is just one of the many advantages enjoyed by Mark Anscombe going into this fixture and with the goings on at the Aviva Stadium giving them a chance to gain some ground, they will surely be immensely disappointed not to come away with at least four points.

The only thing that could hold them back would be having Sarries’ visit to Ravenhill next week to the front of their minds, but that shouldn’t bother them as they are used to having tougher HCup assignments away from home.  Hopefully they will get the job done here with any injuries, though a try bonus may be beyond them. Ulster by 12

Leinster v Munster, 7pm

CLICK HERE FOR MY PREVIEW ON THE FANTASY5LIVE BLOG

Ulster Bank League Div 1A

Cork Constitution v Ballynahinch, 2:30pm

Dolphin v Garryowen, 2:30pm

Young Munster v St Mary’s, 2:30pm

Lansdowne Premiership

London Wasps v Saracens, 3pm

Harlequins v London Irish, 3pm

Exeter Chiefs v Gloucester, 3pm

Northampton Saints v Leicester Tigers, 3:15pm

Leinster v Munster isn’t the only big top-of-the-table derby tussle today - these two are also long-standing rivals and they are also in the mix for the playoffs.  However in this case after Sale’s win over Bath last night the points are needed by the Tigers to not only stay ahead of the Sharks but also to move ahead of Bath in 3rd.  Hang on - am I daring to suggest that a game in the Lansdowne Premiership may actually be exciting?  Maybe I need to lie down…  Anyway - I’m going to tag this as my Upset of the Week and go for an away win.  Leicester by 4

Top14

Stade Francais v Racing Métro, 1:55pm

Montpellier v Bayonne, 5:30pm

Oyonnax v Grenoble, 5:30pm

Bordeaux v Perpignan, 5:30pm

Biarritz v Castres, 5:30pm

Toulon v Toulouse, 7:45pm

Super Rugby

Bulls v Chiefs, 1pm

Sharks v Waratahs, 3:05pm

Sunday, March 30

RaboDirectPRO12

Scarlets v Connacht, 2:05pm

This is Connacht’s biggest game of the season.  Yes, I am well aware that they won in Toulouse, but the fact remains that their recent run of form has put them in contention for a seat at next season’s top Euro table, and the Llanelli-based region stand in their way.

Pat Lam gets to name another unchanged side this weekend, something he has struggled to do all season and certainly doesn’t hurt a squad.  Meanwhile the significant portion of Welsh fans looking for another stick to beat WRU chief Roger Lewis with will no doubt be baying for an away win here. “Look - even the 4th best Irish province can beat us, mun!!!”

As always I am bound by the traditions of this blog when I make my prediction but be assured it comes with both a nod AND a wink.  Be sure and catch this one on RTE2 Sunday afternoon if you can, it promises to be a thriller and is every bit as important for Irish rugby as Saturday evening’s goings-on in Dublin. Scarlets by 2

Lansdowne Premiership

Newcastle Falcons v Worcester Warriors, 2pm

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Be sure and enjoy your rugby this weekend wherever you are. JLP

The Pagano Preview Feb 28-Mar 2

So two weeks for Morgan Parra, eh? 

Wow…what a convenient coincidence in that it allows him to rest next week AND be available for France in what could be a Six Nations championship decider in Paris!!!

I have read some opinion to the tune of “well, we have benefitted from controlling our own discipline in the past (eg Cian Healy) so we can’t really complain”.  For me, if we continue in that mindset then what is clearly a broken system will rumble on.

Obviously we want to look after our own.  If parents get the dreaded call from a school that their child has been getting into trouble, they’d much rather dole out the punishment themselves.  But that’s not always possible.

Much has been said about the slow progression of rugby’s powers-that-be in many areas, and discipline has to be one of the biggest of them, if not THE biggest.  And it all has to do with my biggest pet peeve about the game, the “top tier” unions’ cartel which allows them to effectively run the game as they see fit within their own jurisdictions.

An independent & accountable IRB certainly will have its problems, all beaurocracies do.  But that doesn’t mean they aren’t needed, particularly in areas where justice isn’t just needed to be done, but also SEEN to be done. 

So even if the Parra ruling ticked all the boxes required by the Laws of the Game, there should not have been a Frenchman anywhere near the process.

Oh…and another thing…Phillipe St Andre’s moral stance re : Louis Picamoles was indeed noble, but it reminds me of Ewan Mackenzie’s supposed “zero tolerance” reaction to his players’ drinking in Dublin.  In both cases the players were able to rest against Scotland so they could play against Ireland.  We’ll know for sure when PSA names his squad for Paris.

Allow me to hop down off my high horse and make some predictions for a busy weekend of domestic action…

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Click here for TV listings

Friday, February 28

RaboDirectPRO12

Ulster v Newport-Gwent Dragons, 7:05pm

The Dragons put in a fighting display at the RDS a couple of weeks ago, but sadly for them I can see this one going a similar way for them.

Still though, they did upset the Warriors last week so confidence will be high plus they have the Scarlets in their sights for what could be a crucial sixth-place finish so if I were Mark Anscombe I wouldn’t let the bookies’ 16-point spread go to my head.

But you can’t ignore the return to action of Tommy Bowe.  He & Sean O’Brien are the two names I would absolutely want for Ireland in Paris regardless of gametime and Tommy certainly knows how to score tries in Paris so it’s great to see him back.

Plus with news of Sexton’s thumb injury it’s a chance for Paddy Jackson to show Joe Schmidt he could have had a little more confidence in him back at Twickers.

Add to that the numerous other Ulstermen knocking on the door of the test XV like Henderson and Marshall, and not to mention the quality of Messrs Pienaar & Payne, the Ravenhill fans would be entitled to be disappointed if that spread isn’t at least reached.  Ulster by 18

Edinburgh v Ospreys, 7:35pm

From “Maggotfield” to “Meggetland” is the way the media are spinning Embra’s move away from the evil nematodes at Murrayfield to the home of Boroguhmuir RFC. 

I know nothing about the place but surely if it’s anywhere near the feel of Scotstoun they should look for a permanent move there as playing at the national HQ was nothing short of an embarrassment.

And if the new Euro qualifying rules happen they’ll need a win here to stay in touch with 6th…sadly for them the Ospreys come to town with Mr Tipuric who I reckon will prove the difference.  Ospreys by 6

Lansdowne Premiership

Bath v Saracens, 7:45pm

I have a confession to make.  I ALMOST considered watching this match live instead of Ulster v Dragons!  In fact, should the match at Ravenhill go as expected and be done as a contest early on many Ulster fans may switch over as well to see how their HCup opponents are looking.  What’s more, this is a key battle as Bath are actually good this year and need a win to stay in touch with the top two. 

There’s more Irish interest here as well with Peter Stringer starting for Bath and former Leinster lock Eoin Sherriff on the Sarries bench.  Very close one to call, I’ll go for the home side even if they do have Henson in their 23. Bath by 1

Top 14

Montpellier v Stade Francais, 7:45pm

Super Rugby

Stormers v Hurricanes, 5:10pm

Saturday, March 1

RaboDirectPRO12

Zebre v Cardiff Blues, 3pm

Hard one the call, this.  It shouldn’t be, really, with the minor Italian franchise rock bottom of the table and the Blues just off a spirited performance against a far superior Leinster squad.  But a win for Zebre means they do the double over the Welsh capital this season.  Something about that makes me feel this could be the Upset Of The Week, so I’m going for it. Zebre by 3

Connacht v Benetton Treviso, 5pm

Apparently there are people who check back on these previews to see how I did with my predictions…always good to know I’m being kept on my toes!  One thing though…hopefully they know about this site’s superstitious tradition of always predicting Connacht to lose!

Though they are weakened in the pack these days, their back line appears to be about as full strength as they can have it with Robbie Henshaw back in the 15 jumper.  That plus the momentum arising from successive victories means my prediction really is based on nothing but superstition. Treviso by 1

Scarlets v Munster, 6:30pm

For the sake of this league’s future, I really, really hope the Scarlets are up for this fixture.

Normally you’d think the visit of a 2-time Heineken Cup winner and current league leaders would be enough for interest, but Edinburgh’s victory over Ospreys last night heats up competition for what could be a crucial 6th place, where the Llanelli-based region now sit.

Of course all Munster need for motivation is Leinster breathing down their necks at the top of the table, and it’s a powerful matchday 23 they’re sending across the Irish Sea.

The most interesting selection is Simon Zebo at full-back, possibly a necessity for Rob Penney but also to further demonstrate to Joe Schmidt the value and versatility of the player.

Bookies have the visitors to win by 4 points…sadly I don’t share their optimism that the Scarlets can get that close, even with what is a fascinating centre pairing of Olly Barkley and Jonathan Davies.  Munster by 9

Leinster v Glasgow Warriors, 8:30pm

Back at the beginning of the season it seemed Leinster’s selection policy included Luke Fitzgerald at outside centre when needed, together with Fergus McFadden being always on the wing.  Now that policy seems to have been totally reversed and makes this match fascinating.

Of course the fixture has enough about it to get our interest, what with it being two of the leading contenders for the title, not to mention a rematch of their semifinal last season which the Warriors came close to pinching.

And after defeat to the Dragons last week, Gregor Townsend will know he will need his squad to go one better tonight if they are to make the most of the Ospreys’ slipup at Edinburgh last night.

McFadden partners Noel Reid in the Leinster midfield, and normally it is on defence where Leinster’s 12 & 13 would be most needed to perform.  I’m not so sure that is the case against these Warriors.

In 13 league matches this season the Warriors have conceded a mere 12 tries.  While Leinster for their part have scored over 2 per game themselves and are on the back of three bonus point wins in a row, they certainly won’t have been tested by a defence such as this one.

Ian Madigan gets the nod at outhalf and if he can find ways to crack open the Glasgow resistance tonight, it surely must catch the eye of Joe Schmidt who may need both him and Paddy Jackson next weekend.

Meanwhile in the Leinster pack the most amazing thing about it is that based on form this season, the weakest link is actually skipper Leo Cullen! 

I don’t share the bookies’ optimism of a 12-point win for the reigning champs but I do reckon we’ll do enough to get the four points in a low-scoring contest. Leinster by 6

Ulster Bank League Div 1A

It’s Round 12 of 18for the AIL title and the focus will be on the two-horse races at both top and bottom of the table.  Ballynahinch will certainly feel they have a chance to pull away from Garryowen as they host Marys while the Limerick outfit travel to UCD.  meanwhile at the top Tarf host mid-table Dolphin while Belvedere face an testing trip to face Cork Con who could drag themselves back into contention with a victory.  Much to play for, though I still feel a return to the top-four playoff system would be better for the league.

Ballynahinch v St Mary’s, 2:30pm

Clontarf v Dolphin, 2:30pm

Cork Constitution v Old Belvedere, 2:30pm

UCD v Garryowen, 2:30pm

Young Munster v Lansdowne, 2:30pm

Lansdowne Premiership

Exeter Chiefs v London Irish, 3pm

Harlequins v Worcester Warriors, 3pm

London Wasps v Sale Sharks, 3pm

Northampton Saints v Gloucester, 3:15pm

Top 14

Bordeaux-Begles v Clérmont, 1:55pm

Brive v Grenoble, 5:30pm

Racing Métro v Castres, 5:30pm

Toulon v Oyonnax, 5:30pm

Toulouse v Perpignan, 7:35pm

Super Rugby

Waratahs v Reds, 8:40am

Western Force v Brumbies, 11am

Bulls v Lions, 3:05pm

Sunday, March 2

Leinster Schools Senior Cup Semifinal

Newbridge v Blackrock, 3pm

Lansdowne Premiership

Newcastle Falcons v Leicester Tigers, 2pm

Top 14

Biarritz v Bayonne, 2pm

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Be sure and enjoy your rugby this weekend wherever you are. JLP

Non-Irish Pro12 HCup Preview

As always Liam Sinclair has a look at the prospects of the non-Irish clubs in the Rabo…

One of my favourite weekends of the year is now. Might be our last? Certainly the last in this exact format.

The pools look as close as I've ever seen them so should be a great season with plenty of tension. I'll be sticking to my usual teams prediction wise and have once again been left in a situation where I don't get to pick many winners. Ah well, I'll power on regardless.

Zebre – The first of my lads in action the weekend are the men from Parma. Here to make up the numbers in pool 3 alongside Saracens, Connacht and the weekend's rivals, Toulouse. While Toulouse seem to have lost the air of invulnerability they used to enjoy they are still a quality team, deserving of their place at the top table. Zebre are the opposite. Not quite the punchline they used to be having gotten a victory under their belts but still, easily, the whipping boys of any group they find themselves in. With Connacht alongside them Toulouse and Sarries must feel they both have a chance of qualifying. This weekend should be easy for Toulouse at home. There’s not really much doubt is there? Big victory for the Top14 team.

Edinburgh – Pool 6 is one of a few interesting groups. Edinburgh, Gloucester, Munster and Perpignan, all these teams are capable of beating each other on their day making it a tough one to call. Munster for the big game or Perpignan with their quality are the likely winners. Form is on their side at this early stage aswell being 2 and 3 points off top spot in their leagues. Edinburgh have started off very sluggishly in the Pro12. Sitting bottom with just one win under their belts they go into European competition needing another to get things moving. In their way are European royalty. Munster are getting into their flow at these early stages and come into the match at the back of a morale boosting derby victory. I’m always going on about how I think this team are better then they’re showing but I really don’t think the required improvement will come this weekend. A home loss, 8-12 points…… ish.

Treviso – A decent team at home who have improved year on year. They've found themselves in a tough group though. Any of the other 3 teams, Leicester, Ulster and Montpelier are capable of, not only getting out of the pool but challenging in the latter stages. The only role for Treviso is that of a spoiler. Not sure what it says about me but I love that role. Treviso might get themselves a nice scalp in this pool and ruin the entire tournament for their victim. Their first match is against a Montpelier team flying high domestically. Always hard to know how French teams are going to approach this competition but I like what little I've seen of these lads. A scrappy affair, Montpellier win by a margin of around 10 points.

Scarlets – Another great looking group with a few teams looking to qualify. Clermont are the obvious front runners, Harlequins aren't far behind and Racing Metro provide a delightful unknown quantity. Scarlets will huff and puff but just don't have the quality to compete with these big boys. They start with a tough trip to the Stoop where Harlequins will be looking to throw down a marker. They will be disappointed with the definitive manner of their expulsion last year and with the start they've had at home this year. Scarlets won't roll over but Quins have my vote.

Ospreys - Another one! Maybe even the closest group of them in the cup. Every team here, Leinster, Castres, Northampton and The Ospreys, is as good as the rest. I'm going to put Leinster top of my predictions (out of good old fashioned blind loyalty), Ospreys 2nd and the other two I'll leave for now. This is a big game for the Spreys. Having missed an opportunity to make a statement against Ulster Ospreys really need this. Home advantage is a definite plus and there's no doubting the quality they have all over the park. Feel they have it in them. Narrow win to get the ball rolling in a tight group.

Pool 2 – The common wisdom here is that Cardiff, Glasgow and Exeter are fighting to finish 2nd to mighty Toulon. Probably true and Glasgow have that determined look about them these days that makes them most likely to take that spot. Might even give us a surprise if they're consistent against the ''other'' teams and get one shock from their battles with Toulon. Chance is a fine thing and I think the defending champs have what it takes to qualify here.

Cardiff - A trip to Sandy Park to play everyone's second favourite team Exeter. Since their rise to the big leagues Exeter have been a tough and consistent team. In the same space of time Cardiff have shown a frustrating inconsistency. The players are there but it just hasn't happened. With the consistent team playing at home I can only see one result. Exeter will keep ticking away at the score board for a comfortable win. Call it 12 points.

Glasgow - The Warriors are undefeated this year and impressing the mobs. If they can take that form onto the European stage it's anyone's game. It will be a tough group to qualify from and first blood will have to happen soon. A trip to Toulon is a daunting start but it's exactly where they need to be showing their stuff. A quick start will be needed, backed up by an 80 minute performance. Too much too soon for Glasgow. Lots of spit and some good moments but Toulon will come out the other end on top.

That's the weekend. A quick line longer term even though so much can change. Pool toppers - Leinster, Toulon, Saracens, Clermont, Leicester, Perpignan. Best 2nd place, Toulouse, Munster or Harlequins? I'll go Munster. Quins, Glasgow and Ospreys to end up in the Amlin.

Happy watching.

Liam Sinclair (@liam_bs) – Guesses, generalisations and clichés.

Pro12 Week 4 preview

A look at Round 4 of the Pro12 with a non-Irish slant by Liam Sinclair…

The tedious European wrangling continues and is actually threatening a move on my nerves. A chink of light comes through on the home front to break the monotony! That rarest of rare things! Three cheers for the team who, just last weekend, popped their competitive cherry. Hip Hip! Zebre! Just one part of an unpredictable weekend. Frustrating for the predictors but makes for great watching. Weekend coming, let’s have a look.

Ulster v Treviso; Managed a good win against Munster at the weekend to get their season up and running. Have grown in stature every year they’ve been in this contest and can only be good if they continue on this path. Toughness is a big part of their game which next opponents Ulster can match. It’s going to be a close one but you have to feel Ulster will find their flow. A close game, home victory.

Zebre; At long last! This day has been a long time coming. The day we could take a break from the norm and finally talk about Zebre in a positive way. And away from home and all! So congratulations Zebre it’s good to be able to say good things about you however…….. I think some of the talk has been over the top. One match is not an upsurge or proof of a turn in fortunes. It’s a step alright but it’s just the first. I stated a minimum aim of three wins for the Parmesan upstarts and I stand by this. Great result but let’s not get too excited yet.

Glasgow; Continued their excellent start to the season with victory over champs Leinster. It wasn’t the most stylish of victories but will be taken gleefully. Still 100%, the only team that can claim that. Ringing in the changes for the match upcoming. Ringing the changes for the upcoming game but still a strong team. Will feel they can continue setting the pace.

Match; Glasgow to win a nice, flowing game.

Leinster v Cardiff; Somebody had to be the first team to lose to Zebre. A few close calls did happen but The Blues have taken the spoils. There’s no need for alarm bells just yet, we won’t judge on one performance! The first step on the road to absolution is Dublin. A toughie. Leinster, who did not perform well last weekend welcome back some first teamers and will also be looking to make amends. It’s like a Disney movie. Positive for Cardiff that another Lion comes back in the shape of Captain Sam but, most likely, not enough. Leinster to win fairly comfortably.

Edinburgh; Disappointing if not surprising. Edinburgh have already been on the receiving end of 2 hidings which leaves them bottom. At the risk of repeating myself I think this team have the ability to beat anyone on their day. It’s not a very strong team going out however, a mystical ‘day’ needed even more. Murrayfield is the venue and it really looks an awful place when it’s empty. This can’t be helping the players, must be an alternative?

Scarlets; Loss to the Dragons will have stung. The Pro12 can split into those competing and those not very quickly and if they want to be competitive at the top these are the games they need to be winning. It’s another away trip coming up against a similar team and some serious amends need to be made.

Match; I think I spelt it out pretty well up there. Victory for a determined Scarlets team.

Connacht v Ospreys; So far we’ve seen the Osprey’s team we all know and admire. Playing with style and penetration they are 2^nd in the table with the highest amount of points scored. They travel to Galway with an unbeaten record and a renewed reputation. Defence has been decent and I can’t see past them in this match. Victory for the ‘Spreys.

Munster v Dragons; Underestimate the Dragons at your peril! Victory against 2 teams perceived as stronger is a boost for the underachievers. Does kinda compound the disappointment of losing to equals Edinburgh. Instinct still wants to back Munster. Playing well mostly and at home. Musgrave isn’t the fortress that Thomond is but they should still have enough after a good fight.

Here’s hoping for another unpredictable weekend!

Liam Sinclair (@liam_bs) – Guesses, generalisations and clichés.

Pro12 Week 3 preview

A look at Round 3 of the Pro12 with a non-Irish slant by Liam Sinclair…

Rugby news has been dominated this week by dick swinging the on-going debate over the future of the European competition. As I’ve said before I can see merits to both sides of the argument and just hope that some arrangement is made to keep the competition/a competition showing on our screens. In the meantime I’ll continue talking about what we do have as we get to the point where cobwebs should be well and truly shaken off. Some very even matches this weekend with the headline definitely being the showdown at Scotstoun.

Dragons; A mixed start for the Dragons. Big props for their opening day defeat of Ulster was followed by falling short against a team they’re likely to be finishing near come season’s end. While inconsistency might be seen as maddening it’s an improvement on consistently falling short. They seem to be using the grunt available to them well and I can see them continuing their upward curve.

Scarlets; Threw off opening day disappointment in a comfortable victory over Treviso. Early days yet but looking at how other teams are performing I’m getting the feeling that Scarlets are going to have a tough time matching last year’s top 4 finish. The next couple of matches are against The Dragons and Edinburgh, great chance to set a foundation for proving me wrong.

Match; It’s a close one but I think the Scarlets have enough quality to squeak a victory.

Cardiff; Have set themselves up decently for the season getting 5 points in their first 2 matches. Defeat was a close thing from a good performance and victory was an awful affair in bad conditions. Covering off all the necessary skills and with key men on the way back there’s reason for a bit of optimism around Arms Park.

Zebre; Flew out of the traps against Munster, built a decent lead but ended up the wrong side of a hammering. Only positive to be taken is the continued good performances of Orquera at out half. Surely only a matter of time before he attracts the attention of some brighter lights and gets to test himself at a higher level?

Match; Zebre continue to be a parody of themselves and Leigh Halfpenny’s Blues should see this out with relative ease.

Glasgow v Leinster; Played 2, won 2. There’s really not much more you can ask for at this stage of the season. Beating Ulster away adds a decent shine to the stat and must be taken as a serious statement of intent. The tests come thick and fast though with Leinster next it’s man or boy time. Interesting clash as they are on an 8 game unbeaten run at home and Leinster an 8 game unbeaten run away. Somebody’s record has to end this weekend. Time to shine for The Warriors? I think so. It’ll be a tough one on the eyes but they’ll scrape victory here.

Treviso v Munster; Treviso have not started well at all and are second last in the table with one losing BP to show for their toils. Next up are Munster, sitting pretty with as many points as have been available to them. It’s hard to call them since even Munster fans I was talking to before the start of the season weren’t expecting much from them this year. If this was the first match of the season I’d be comfortable calling home win here but a lot has changed in that short space of time. Still having a tough time, can I come back later? No? OK Munster victory it is, somewhere between 3 and 7 points.

Ospreys; Showed up at the RDS and left us, once again, with that ‘’what just happened’’ feeling. Making chances and taking chances is a decent way to win matches and when defence is sorted out this clinical approach will reap serious dividends. Resembling their former selves again this will be a big season for the ‘Spreys.

Edinburgh; A win is a win. Some points on the board for Edinburgh and hopefully looking upwards and wanting more. Still question marks over the mental strength of this squad and some tough matches ahead I feel that their season is going to be defined before Christmas. Makes all these upcoming matches, Ospreys, Scarlets, Cardiff, Treviso, very important with at least 2 wins needed. A big ask and probably too much, foundations being set for another disappointing season.

Match; Ospreys really impressed me so far and I think there’s 5 points for them here if they want them.

Not much to it again, enjoy the rugby.

Liam Sinclair (@liam_bs) – Guesses, generalisations and clichés.

PS; Glasgow Warriors will have a ‘’resident referee providing background to the decisions made by the referees’’ on Twitter. Sounds dead interesting. Anyone that agrees follow @rugbyreflink.

Pro12 Week 2 preview

A look at Round 2 of the Pro12 with a non-Irish slant by Liam Sinclair…

A fairly standard bunch of matches to kick off. One shock, always nice so thanks Dragons. Coming thick and fast now so let’s jump back in. Week 2!

Cardiff v Connacht; A decent outing against Glasgow sees Cardiff start the year with a losing BP. Not an ideal start sure, but not the worst. Coming up next is a home game against one of the league’s lesser lights. This is the type of match Cardiff need to be winning with a minimum of fuss and how this goes could set the tone for the season. I do like what I saw at the weekend so I’m calling a home win here. Fuss probably won’t be minimal though.

Ulster v Glasgow; Glasgow did what they had to on opening day. Their net two fixtures come against last year’s finalists and having some points in the bag will stand to them. Up first are Ulster who were the shock of the week in defeat to The Dragons. One match does not a bad team make though and Glasgow will be up against it in the shiny new Ravenhill. A close one but Ulster look the most likely to take the spoils after a close, messy, game.

Zebre v Munster; There is a temptation with Zebre to just keep predicting they’ll win until it happens and then tell everyone you knew that you saw it coming. It would definitely be more fun than the glib, cynical tone I’d descended into last year. Not yet. Munster will have too much for the beasts of the savannah and I expect them to win comfortably. There’s two doable matches for Zebre next month where ‘’the plan’’ might be sprung!

Edinburgh; Disappointing. A heavy defeat that couldn’t be glossed over by a late surge. Edinburgh are the team most in need of a good start because they will, as like as anything, stop putting the effort in. Is it a bit early to talk about a season unravelling? Probably but the sooner the better we get some positive results. Concentration will be the key, forward and back, for the full 80 minutes.

Dragons; Pulled off the shock of the weekend by beating, an admittedly off colour, Ulster. That said there’s some great points in the bag to serve as a jumping off point for the men of Gwent. Big question now is if they can build on this?

Match; A clash unlikely to go down in the ages. Motivation for both teams will be two sides of the same coin. Edinburgh need to find their feet and The Dragons will want to build on a positive start. As things stand these teams can be considered equals. Have to pick someone so Edinburgh it is.

Leinster v Ospreys; Job done for the ‘Spreys on day one. These are the wins they need to be getting to hit the heights they’ve gotten used to over the last few seasons. Not as dominant as they’d hope but Treviso would never lie down and die for anyone. A tricky one coming up this weekend. Leinster will still be short few first teamers and if they’re to be taken, now’s the time. Definitely think they’ll bring a scare but Leinster will win in front of the RDS faithful.

Scarlets; A strange one for Scarlets at the weekend. Looked comfortable at the start but ended up on the wrong end of a hammering. A lot of positives but definitely need to be turning possession into points. If they can cut out the handling errors a force to be reckoned with.

Treviso; Showed their usual grunt and vigour to get out of the weekend with a losing BP. Their development is well on track and still think they will equal their league finish from last year.

Match; A lot depends on Scarlets ability to close this off. If they get the phases going they should be good value for the win.

Not out on a limb on any of these I don’t think. Enjoy the weekend.

Liam Sinclair (@liam_bs) – Guesses, generalisations and clichés.

Rabo Direct Pro 12 Season Preview

As the Pro12 kickoff gets closer we welcome Lorcan Hurley to the HoR2 team with his preview…

The bookies have backed the imaginatively titled Rabo Direct Pro 12 teams as follows: Leinster are favourites at 3-1, Ulster 4-1, Ospreys 6-1, Glasgow 7-1, Munster 8-1, Scarlets 19-1, Cardiff 34-1, Treviso 41-1, Edinburgh 41-1. Connacht 150-1, Dragons 200-1 and Zebre at 1000-1

When deciding on which team to back it’s important to be cognizant of each team’s goal. The teams with the toughest Heineken Cup groups and therefore the highest chance of being knocked out in the group stages may logically have more motivation to win the Rabo later in the season as opposed to the likes of Munster, Leinster and Ulster who would expect to be fighting on two fronts come April. Expect the Welsh regions to struggle; they’ve lost a lot of talent in their ranks and have been quiet on the transfer front.

Leinster: Defending champions and favourites and for a reason; the squad is still insanely good despite the back three exodus of Carr, Conway and Nacewa and the loss of the maestro, Sexton and the departure of Schmidt. One could argue they are due a slow year and with all this change a fall from grace is inevitable? Not exactly. A team with Madigan (last year’s top points scorer) D’Arcy, O’Driscoll, Heaslip, McFadden, Kearney, Fitzgerald, Ross, Healy, McCarthy, O’Brien, Strauss et al will ALWAYS be dangerous. This is still the best squad in the league with the most threatening backline. They will make the Heineken Cup quarters and will aim to win on both fronts. Expect to see some young back three lads come through like Adam Byrne in particular. Kirchner, while not an overly talented international will cause damage at Pro 12 level despite his critics. Expect them to make semis at least but not my pick for overall winners.

Ulster: What a team. Incredibly talented youngsters with excellent imports like Payne, Muller and Afao. A nice mix and an easy team to follow which always helps. Biggest question is who to put at 10. Marshall is a feisty and talented 9 and with Pienaar’s ability to play 10, pressure may mount on Jackson. For me Paddy Jackson is Ireland’s fourth best outhalf behind Sexton, Madigan and Keatley. Great squad depth though and plenty of flair in the backs. Expect to see a backline of Pienaar, Jackson, Trimble, Marshall, Cave, Bowe and Payne for Heineken Cup games with Olding and Gilroy being prominent during the Rabo encounters. Best, Muller, Afoa, Trimble, Bowe and Pienaar bring the experience with the likes of Henderson, Gilroy and Jackson providing youthful exuberance. A well-settled squad with a destructive back row and with the likes of Cochrane, McAllister and Nelson breaking through Ulster will fare well. Not even mentioning the prospect of Ferris being fit again. They face a tough HC group with Leicester and Montpellier posing problems but I think they’ll advance in Europe so their Rabo motivation may ebb slightly. Will make semis but may have too much going on in Heineken Cup to win.

Ospreys: The former champions are seemingly perpetually overhyped. They suffer from the general crapness of Welsh provincial rugby. In rugby mad Wales not many go to Rabo games, the atmosphere is usually poor and players often seem uninterested. They cut a lot of underperforming international fat a few years back and they have been solid since. The current squad ain’t all that though. I like Biggar, Fussell, Wyn-Jones and Adam Jones. There’s not much else going on. They are still part of the Rabo big 5 but they won’t be able to overturn full strength Ulster, Leinster, Munster or Glasgow for my money. No proper new signings but they will be eliminated from the Heineken Cup early so they may have the resources to make the Rabo final. Can’t see them winning though.

Glasgow: Here’s where it gets interesting, a well established squad who were lethal last season. Confidence is high. They have three superb scrumhalves (three more than most teams) in Cusiter, Pyrgos and Matawalu while Weir and Jackson are both quality outhalves at pro 12 level. Back three of Hogg, Maitland and Van der Merwe are class in attack. Sean Lamont will be key in midfield following retirees Morrsion and brother Rory. Handy backrow too. Will destroy a lot of the lesser teams this season. Unlikely to topple Toulon in pool stages of Heineken Cup so may have to focus on Rabo. My pick for overall winners.

Munster: My home team. Squad is shaping up well although Heineken Cup still looks a bridge too far; the Southerners are Rabo contenders despite a poor sixth place finish last year. Big signings in the form of Conway and Van Den Heever (someone I’ve watched for the past three years) means our back three is slick. Felix Jones will hopefully be fit by November but until then Zebo, Conway and one of the Hurley, Murphy, O’Mahony, O’Dea brigade will provide a real attacking threat. Lualala is coming into great form while Earls may struggle to start now! I still rate Earsly but Downey is effective and the back three will be sewn up soon enough. CJ Stander, O’Donnell and O’Mahony is my favourite backrow of the tournament. Young, fast and powerful. Loss of ROG is big but Keatley is good enough; he’s arguably the most accurate place kicker in the tournament and is stronger than ROG in defence. I have a problem with scrumhalf; Williams isn’t really up to it on a consistent basis hence the inclusion of Gerry Hurley this year. Sheridan has potential but may not be ready to provide performances week in week out in absence of Murray. Their Heineken Cup group is weak and fighting on two fronts may prove too much for Munster this year. Will make semis.

Scarlets: Loss of George North may prove a killer blow. A decent squad but with no real conviction. Reasonable players throughout squad but travelling to Llanelli will instill fear in nobody. Eestimated finish of 7^th overall.

Cardiff: Why is the Cardiff Arms pitch covered in A4 pages? Because they only play well on paper! Lame, I know but true. Warburton, the insanely talented Halfpenny, Cuthbert and Jenkins are big names but as we know international players only play typically seven or eight Rabo games a season depending on playoffs. That leaves a lot of time for the fledglings to fill. Depth may be a slight issue but I like a lot of the names I see on the squad roster. No hope in the Heineken Cup. I’d give Cardiff a better chance than the Scarlets actually. I can see them finishing 6^th overall.

Treviso: The Italian hope. They tripped up a few teams last season and they have a lot of Italian internationals. No major signings though so progression may be a problem for them. Won’t be in playoff shake-up but won’t be bottom of barrel either. Should be aiming to finish ahead of Zebre, Dragons, Connacht and Edinburgh.

Edinburgh: Did crap last year, embarrassingly so. Murrayfield is a horrible, soulless venue. They have some good players like Visser, Laidlaw and a good backrow but that’s it. Some minor singings will help but I can’t see them finishing within the top 6. Will be killed in Heineken Cup and even with new coaching staff confidence will be modest.

Connacht: My second team and they have been growing ever since I went to NUIG back in 2008 (lucky charm or what?). Perpetually underrated. They’ve made some great signings and I feel they could finish sixth overall. For me the top five is relatively assured but the rest of the teams are in a dog fight and Galway is made for dogfights. They also won some big games away from home last season. They don’t lose international players and squad depth will be improved this season. Muldoon, Clarke, Muldowney, Carr, Parks, Duffy, Marmion and Henshaw are all quality players. The halfback partnership will be key and I rate Marmion as a future international with greater potential than Murray. Parks is so solid and gives leadership. He keeps the points coming and at Rabo level is a serious operator. They always play with heart which is something I can’t say about some of the Welsh teams. Young centres McSharry and Griffin are handy and the backrow of Faloon, Muldoon and Naoupu is genuinely strong. If they stay relatively injury-free then they’ll cause some upsets without question. Strangely I reckon they might do alright in the Heineken Cup pools especially against the deteriorating Toulouse. My heart and head see a big year for the lads in green.

Dragons: Rodney Parade is hardly a fortress though they will be buoyed by the retention of lion Faletua. They are the ‘Connacht’ of Welsh rugby but they lack the grit and support which Galway so readily provides. Sidoli and Prydie constitute the only other notable players established in the team and one can safely envision another shaky year for them. The inclusion of Richie Rees and Jason Tovey will be a big plus but they will be outgunned by the likes of Connacht and Edinburgh.

Zebre: No wins last year but they did sign former All Black Brendan Leonard! Should upset someone at home.

Lorcan Hurley (@rugby_bet) :  Play a bit of rugby myself and I enjoy criticizing guys who could easily beat me up.

The Pro12 is back!

A warm HoR2 welcome back to Liam Sinclair who once again will be keeping tabs on the Non-Irish teams in the Pro12…

It’s that time of the year again. The past is pigeon holed and optimistic eyes gaze eagerly into the future. Harpin’ On Rugby have extended my contract another year and I look forward to throwing my glib musings into the ring of public opinion.

My particular focus will, as usual, be the coming and goings of the non-Irish teams that make up our beautifully eclectic domestic competition. Improvement is needed across the board so we’ll use the first matches to set some goals.

Scarlets v Leinster; The weekend kicks off with the one team from my column’s remit where standing still would be a successful season. That is, however, a big ask. A superstar has left who’s just plain irreplaceable, performances will drop. I feel they’ll be in the scrap but will fall short over the course of the season. Europe is a write off as well. In a group with heavyweights Clermont, Quins and Racing Metro the best they can hope for is to be the team that ruins it for someone. A tough season ahead.

Starts off with a toughie against the reigning champions. I expect this to be a close one with an exciting Leinster team coming out victorious.

Dragons v Ulster; Second last and miles behind. Realistically the only way is up……..? Every team needs to win their matches at home and they will have to go aggressively after the other teams at the bottom of the middle Connacht, Edinburgh, Cardiff and Treviso. These are teams that will also be looking up and a tough season lies ahead for the men of Gwent.

First up in the supposed fortress are last year’s table toppers. Ulster seem to have kept the positive feeling generated over the past couple of years simmering and will come out here with all guns blazing. Too much for the Dragons.

Glasgow; A pleasure to watch last year as they made their way comfortably into the Semis. There’s no reason for this team to, not only equal, but improve on last year. A final appearance is the least of my expectations. Europe is going to be difficult. Champions Toulon, hard, effective Exeter and equals Cardiff. Not holding out a huge amount hope there.

Cardiff; The biggest under achievers last year, improvement needed urgently. There’s definitely the players. Leigh Halfpenny, Sam Warburton? Names that I’m sure ring a bell with most of you. I’m going to trot out the cliché again; home victories a must for a solid run at the top spots. Thinking they’ll fall a bit short, 6-8^th. Same European group as this weekend’s rivals and 3^rd is the highest they can hope for.

Last year’s table suggests a big gap between these two teams. I don’t think this is the case and this match will be close. Glasgow are that bit more stylish in attack and should do the job at home.

Connacht v Zebre; Not hard to set a basic goal for Zebre given that just one victory would be an improvement. A lot was said about how close they came on occasion but for me having zero in the games won column is unacceptable no matter the circumstances. I’m setting the goal of 3 wins for them but don’t see them getting any higher up the table. With Toulouse and Saracens to contend with in Europe and Connacht as the third what’s the bets there’s two quarter finalists coming out of this group?

Munster v Edinburgh; Very similar to Cardiff, Edinburgh are a team who feel they should be higher up the table. New coach has been brought in and they will be looking right upwards to those playoff spots. We’re a year or two too early for that but improvement is likely. In Europe they face a group that will be tough but not impossible. Perpignan probably the favourites but with concentration and a chunk of luck anything’s possible.

A trip to Musgrave starts off. No easy task but I think if they come out quick and fierce there’s a win here for them.

Treviso; Finished top of the bottom half last year and managed, at times, to play prettily on their way there. More of the same will be ok but no reason to not look up. They were only four points off 6^th and this is where I see them finishing. In Europe they face an impossible task against heavy hitters Montpellier, Tigers and Ulster. Once again the best hope is to ruin it for somebody else.

Ospreys; Four points off the playoff spots last year. That’s one or two results. The four time champs have to be aiming to be top dogs again. Definitely doable, need to hit the ground running. In Europe they are in an exciting group where anyone can beat anyone. Once again it’s a matter of definitely winning your home games and trying your hardest away. If they do qualify they’ll be primed, tough and ready for the challenges ahead. Another big year beckons for Justin Tipuric.

This fixture last year ended in victory for the underdogs. Not again. Osprey’s should navigate this banana skin.

In summary; (Leinster)Glasgow-Ospreys(Munster,Ulster)-Cardiff-Scarlets-Treviso-Edinburgh(Connacht)-Dragons-Zebre. Or something along those lines.

Happy New Season everybody.

Liam Sinclair (@liam_bs) – Guesses, generalisations and clichés.

What Next for the Celtic League?

We’d like to welcome Brendan Grehan back to HoR2 as he gives his take on Rabo’s early withdrawal from the Pro12…

LAST Week it was interesting to see the positive spin being put on the news that RaboDirect are pulling the plug on their sponsorship of the Celtic League.

I always thought it was curious why the Dutch company chose to sponsor the league in the first place given that they only have a presence in Ireland and not in the three other member countries. In a curious parallel with German sportswear firm, Puma, who exited from their gear deal from the IRFU one year early, RaboDirect are also returning to the land of canals, dykes and jazz cigarettes 12 months ahead of schedule.

Though the Celtic League has always been the European Cup's ugly sister, it has established itself as a competition of note.

And Ireland is the market where it has flourished. All those inter-provincial rivalries over the last decade has left their mark on the competition. One thinks in particular of all those Leinster-Munster match ups in Lansdowne, the RDS and Thomond.

To be honest it made sense for RaboDirect to bid adieu to the Celtic League given that the bank’s market is Ireland.

In a statement, Tim Bicknell, General Manager at RaboDirect said "key business objectives have been achieved".

He added: “The partnership with the PRO12 has helped us achieve key business objectives and has been extremely beneficial, especially in terms of developing and communicating our brand values, connecting with rugby fans and giving us a platform to reward our customers.Our commitment to the PRO12 will be the same this season, and we will continue to push the boundaries, innovate and bring our energy and expertise to the competition through a strong programme of activity."

As the domestic rugby season starts to wheeze up again, RaboDirect could be the perfect partner for the game on these shores.

It will be interesting to see what sporting activities the Dutch will choose to sponsor.

And what will become of the Celtic League. Will Sky swoop down like a deus ex machina and come to the rescue given that they are due to screen 33 matches a season in a four-year deal from next season.

With all the kerfuffle about the alcohol sponsorship, the drinks companies may choose to keep their distance from the oval ball.

So it will probably be a big financial institution. You can't beat the old reliables.

Brendan Grehan is a Journalist.

twitter: @brendanxavier

Facebook: Brendan Grehan

Keego on…Replays & Reports (part 2)

Click here for Part 1

So here we go, the second half is about to kick off. It is 16-6 to Leinster and I have just come back from the kitchen with a full fresh pot (FRESH POTS!), lets gitter done!

Leinster kicking off playing towards the Southside (which as we all know is the best side). Best with a lineout, no fear as he throws to the front. Ulster gets the ball to Williams who is stopped by 3 Leinster players. The game is still being played at a ferocious pace. Less that 2 minutes in Ulster give away yet another penalty. Play stopped because of a knock to Madigan. I think he has appeared weaker since changing his hair to a more civilian style, I do not think he knows the story of Samson. The realization that Ulster pressure is still yielding zero points must be getting to them at this stage.

Leinster full of running, Cullen even putting the wheels in gear, two advantages. The indiscipline from Ulster is becoming a joke. Finally a card is show to Ulster as Diack is given a yellow for going off his feet AGAIN! If this keeps up they may not have enough players on the pitch to finish the game.

Penalty to Leinster, more booing from Ulster fans which is again deplorable! Sexton puts the preds on the ball and increases the lead to 19-6. It looks like an insurmountable climb for Ulster at this stage. Boss has been epic in the opening minutes of the second half. Ulster look rattled, almost as if they are lucking their way through. Jackson has an awesome run and is held back by his throat by Isa Nacewa in his last Leinster game. It was a desperate tackle from Isa, and it may be the beginning of a momentum shift. Fair play to Jackson, he scared the Leinster defense to death there. Ulster takes the 3 points from Piennar.

19-9 to Leinster.

Ulster have nothing to lose here, they need to just go for it. Play on instinct. Leinster lose a lineout, Piennar boots it down the pitch aimlessly. Another Leinster lineout, nearly stolen by Ulster. Ulster looks like a different tea in the last few minutes. Conway collects a high ball and momentum shifts again. If I had hair I would be pulling it out at this stage, I do not so I am pulling……..The blue army are in full voice, Drico runs n head first and the ball is turned over. Madigan is caught by Bowe, momentum really shifting. Bowe has been immense for Ulster all day. Piennar steps up for another penalty, 19-12 and there is one score in it. Madigan was made to look like a little boy by Bowe in the last play.

Another long kickoff results in Piennar putting the boots to the ball and gaining a huge amount of ground. Strange call from Leinster for the second time in the half. Ulster looking likes a different team in the 52^nd minute. Looking more robust. But they cannot stop Healy getting over the gain line. Ulster turn over, the luck appears to be going their way just before the 55^th minute. A Goodman slip leads to an Ulster lineout in the Leinster 22 area. The Leinster give away a penalty for playing on the ground, this really is battle stations for Leinster. Piennar steps up to take the kick, they do not feel the need for a lineout, and they probably have no trust in it at this stage. It is now the Ulster fans who are singing, for the first time all day. Death, taxes and Piennar. He has the radar working today. The score creeps up to 19-15 to Leinster.

Nacewa back on at 55:35. Another long kick off from Sexton. ANOTHER return kick from Piennar into the exact same spot as previously. Ulster are aiming at the Leinster lineout. The Leinster lineout has creaked but once today. Ulster couldn’t even contend for it. Jennings must have had spinach at half time; he is still rattling forward and smashing through tackles. Leinster looking like they have a bit more energy now. Running the ball with calm, while the Ulster defense works well. Sexton nearly breaks through with a cheeky little dummy. Ulster appear to be glassy eyed, not knowing how to stop Leinster.

That last passage of play shows how much Sexton will be missed for the next two years.

Dear IRFU, you couldn’t run a bath, let alone a provincial team.

The rds sounds absolutely massive in the 58^th minute. Blue army definitely winning that battle. The ref has been consistent all day with the breakdown and the scrum, nothing either team can complain about as we approach the hour mark.

Boss has been eating Williams’ shoelaces all day. There have been no weak performances from Leinster today. Everyone has been immense and very disciplined. Whereas Ulster just can’t stop giving away penalties. The nerves should have worn off by this stage.

Sexton aiming at the sidelines instead of kicking at goal. Confidence is growing on the blue side. The preds of Sexton get every single inch out of the kick, lineout nearly on the Ulster try line. 61 minutes gone. The captain calls the lineout on himself, Ulster disrupt the maul but they cannot stop the church. Frightening tackling on the Ulster try line. You really feel that Leinster must score; it looks like Heaslip sneaks over. We go to the TMO.

The heart beats a bit faster, ‘is there any reason I cannot afford the try’, Heaslip and Toner pushed through three Ulster defenders and the TMO awards the try. A huge point in the match. Leinster withstood the Ulster onslaught; Ulster didn’t have the balls to try the lineout when they needed the points. That is the difference between the two sides, the size of their genitals.

Sexton is up for the conversion, from nearly the entrance way on to the pitch. Sexton pulls a tough kick left. That kick may have put the game beyond Ulster, but they are not out of it yet. Henderson on for Diack, who has been the reason for a lot of Leinster points today.

A big tired scrum in the 64^th minute results in a knackered looking Ulster trying to spread the ball wide. The Leinster line is being lead by O’Driscoll and the attack is stopped fairly easily. Leinster have the put in on their 22. The ref looks like he is about to jump into the scrum. Heaslip runs the resulting penalty given against Ulster. Still some ferocious hits going in and we are nearing 70 minutes gone. Leinster rolling forward through some bruising forward running. Absolutely no fear on either team. Ulster wins a penalty at the breakdown, maybe their first at the breakdown all day.

Piennar calls for the ball; they feel that there is enough time left to win the game. Just inside the Leinster half, by my reckoning it is a kick of 15 miles. Healy giving Piennar the evils while he lines up the kick. RDS falls silent and the white side of the stadium erupts. That was some kick! With that kick Piennar has destroyed Paddy Jacksons chances of playing 10 for Ireland.

24-18 to Leinster. Another long kickoff and ANOTHER long kick back from Piennar to the EXACT same spot for a Leinster lineout. What is the definition of insanity again????

The Leinster lineout has only lost one today. Jennings breaking through tackles and Leinster are looking like champions here. Still running as if it is the first minute. Amazing to see players this big run this hard for this long. Ulster given a penalty, Piennar ready to put the boots on it, fires the ball just up to the Leinster 22. We are in the final ten minutes. I have only seen one player take a knee with fatigue. This is an insane showing of fitness from both teams. Williams lines up the whole Leinster team and flattens them all, Ulster up to the Leinster 22. A knock on causes Ulster another penalty. How many penalties have they coughed up today? It really is the sign of a team worried, they have been all day. No team should be this indisciplined in a final.

Quinn Roux and his lovely hair come on for Toner, who has been immense in the business end of the season.

Not a cloud in the sky as we have 7 minutes left. (While watching this my cat is getting sick on the floor, I am busy so the wife can clean it up). Ulster wins a scrum from a knock-on in the middle of the pitch. Anscombe is off his chair and looking worried. Ross replaced by Jamie Hagan, another player who failed to live up to potential this year, but has finished strongly. Too late unfortunately. It shouldn’t take a move away to get you playing well.

The time is ticking on, just over 5 minutes left. A strong blue scrum and some fierce fighting on the ground result. Ulster hangs on to possession and win a penalty. They cannot kick the 3 points, surely? He is going for the corner, fortune favours the brave. That is a ballsy decision. Fair play to them for making it. They know the lineout is horrible; it is down to Rory Best.

Awesome shift by Healy, McGrath on for the church.

Best with ball in hand, you can see him defecating on himself with nerves. Call mix up twice. They win the line out, barely. Williams given the ball, he is taken down, this is insane. Blue line intact until Jared Payne skips 2 tackles. Ulster looking ominous here. O’Driscoll makes a tackle he shouldn’t make and Ulster cough up another penalty. 77:42 gone, Ulster just do not have the ability to work under pressure.

The Ulster fans boo, but there really isn’t anything to boo about. Sexton kicks the ball to the half way and the blue army is starting to celebrate with 90 seconds left. This is an amazing game of rugby. McLaughlin wins the line out; you assume that Leinster will keep the ball at the back of the maul for 60 seconds. They are trucking forward. Amazing energy levels here. The forwards are demoralizing Ulster here. They are trucking forward and breaking tackles.

20 seconds left. Ulster just cannot get near the ball.

10 seconds left, ball still on the Leinster side

5 seconds left. Leinster have the win. They just need to get rid of the ball and O’Driscoll boots the ball into the bus depot in Ballsbridge and the game is over!

JAYSUS THAT WAS SOME GAME!

Ulster where great all season, they just appear to struggle when the pressure is on. This could really scar them for the future. Every pressure game in 5 years have been too much for them.

As for Leinster. What can be said? Every player that took the pitch played to near their max. They played like champions and on that performance, they would have beaten the two French sides in the Heineken final that took place the next day.

So there you have it, that is the end of the season for me. It is down to the Irish players starting for the Lions on Saturday to keep me interested.

As usual, if you want to debate/abuse/discuss this post with me, then tweet me @nkeegan and for more of the same why not roll over to www.thedailyclothesline.com

I hope you are all getting sunburnt as I type this.

Keego (@nkeegan): Blogger, former professional wrestler, sometime attempted rugby player (@TheThirsty3rds), professional procrastinator and attempted musician with a fondness for long walks on the bar, tea and the couch. Opinionated Leinster fan and constant gardener.